Levels and trends in fertility rates among adolescents aged 15–19 in 21 States and Union Territories in India from 1990 to 2050: A Bayesian Modelling Study

Fengqing Chao, Yifei Su, Christophe Z. Guilmoto
December, 2025
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Image credit: © 2025 Chao et al.
Type
Preprint
Publication
medRxiv

This is a preprint that is under peer review currently.

Age-Specific Fertility Rates Probabilistic Projection Bayesian Hierarchical Model Adolescent Fertility India Data Quality Analysis Time Series Models Subnational Modeling Child Marriage
Fengqing Chao
Fengqing Chao
Assistant Professor of Computational Social Science

My research interests include statistical demography, global health, Bayesian modeling, and time series analysis.

Yifei Su
Yifei Su
PhD student (pre-candidacy)

Yifei’s research interests are mainly in computers in human behavior, applied statistics and public health.