Time Series Models

Estimating and Projecting Disparities in Pre- and Post-natal Survival using Bayesian Methods
It is crucial to monitor demographic and global health indicators accurately in order to optimize resource allocation. This is …
PDF Cite Project Project DOI
Estimating and Projecting Disparities in Pre- and Post-natal Survival using Bayesian Methods
Scenario-Based Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of the Sex Ratio at Birth and Missing Female Births
We describe a method for probabilistic scenario-based projection of the sex ratio at birth (SRB; ratio of male to female live births) …
PDF Cite Project Source Document DOI JSM website
A Systematic Assessment of National Under-5 Mortality Rate by Place of Residence for 109 Countries
The progress in reducing the under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) since 1990 has been remarkable but uneven within countries between urban and …
PDF Cite Project Slides DOI PAA conference website
National and regional under-5 mortality rate by economic status for low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic assessment
For all low-income and middle-income countries (excluding China) combined, the absolute disparities in under-5 mortality rate between …
PDF Cite Dataset Project Source Document DOI
National and regional under-5 mortality rate by economic status for low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic assessment
Web appendix: National and regional under-5 mortality rate by economic status for low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic assessment
This web appendix formed part of the original submission and has been peer reviewed. The journal posted it as supplied by the authors. Supplement to: Chao F, You D, Pedersen J, Hug L, Alkema L.
PDF Cite Project Source Document DOI
A Systematic Assessment of National, and Regional Under-Five Mortality Rate by Wealth Quintiles and Identification of Countries with Outlying Levels Using a Bayesian Hierarchical Time Series Model
National-level estimates of the under-five mortality rate (U5MR) may mask disparities at the subnational level. We developed a Bayesian …
PDF Cite Project Poster DOI PAA conference website
National, regional, and global sex ratios of infant, child, and under-5 mortality and identification of countries with outlying ratios: a systematic assessment
Important differences exist between boys and girls with respect to survival up to the age of 5 years. Survival chances tend to improve …
PDF Cite Code Dataset Project Source Document DOI
National, regional, and global sex ratios of infant, child, and under-5 mortality and identification of countries with outlying ratios: a systematic assessment
Supplementary appendix: National, regional, and global sex ratios of infant, child, and under-5 mortality and identification of countries with outlying ratios: a systematic assessment
This appendix formed part of the original submission and has been peer reviewed. The journal posted it as supplied by the authors. Supplement to: Alkema L, Chao F, You D, Pedersen J, Sawyer CC.
PDF Cite Project Source Document DOI
Gender Differences in Infant and Child Mortality: Estimation of Sex-Specific Mortality and an Assessment of Excess Female Deaths
Monitoring of sex-specific mortality up to age five for all countries is challenging because of issues with data availability and …
PDF Cite Project DOI PAA conference website
Gender differences in infant and child mortality: Estimation and identification of countries with outlying levels or trends
Under natural circumstances, the ratio of the male to female under-five mortality rate is greater than one. However, deprivation of …
PDF Cite Project Source Document DOI IUSSP conference website